Municipal Bond Insurance
♫ Tuesday, June 14th, 2011
The role of municipal bond insurance continues to decline in the municipal market, with insured bonds comprising only 11% of year-to-date new issuance through July.
.Ambac, one of the largest bond insurers, was downgraded further into “junk” territory in July, and of the ten municipal bond insurers, only three maintain a financial strength rating of AA or higher.
.Some positive news may lie on the horizon for investors seeking the highest rated municipals bonds, but it is unlikely insurance will return to the pre-crisis role it played in the municipal market.
.While the diminished role of insurance is a negative, we believe it is not enough to offset positive aspects driving performance of the municipal bond market.
The role of bond insurance continues to decline in the municipal market, with insured bonds comprising only 11% of year-to-date new issuance through July. Prior to the start of the financial crisis in 2007, municipal bond insurers backed roughly half of the entire municipal market. In 2008, municipal bond insurers began to lose their AAA ratings status, as projected losses on complex mortgage-backed securities led to downgrades from both Moody’s and S&P. For bond issuers, insurance from a company with less than a AAA rating offered little value. The percentage of newly issued insured bonds dropped to 18% in 2008 and to 11% so far in 2009 according to Bloomberg.
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